Crude AI — Brent Oil Price Projection Tool

Scenario Select

S1: War Continues

Ceasefire expires Apr 21. Hormuz re-closes (21% global transit). Supply physically cut. Panic hoarding + inventory depletion drives prices UP. $130-150+ range.

S2: Frozen Conflict

Talks failed but ceasefire holds. Hormuz partially reopens under UN watch. War premium decays slowly. ~$80-93 range.

S3: Peace Deal

Negotiations succeed. Full Hormuz reopen. Damaged infra slowly rebuilt over 6-12 months. Gradual return to ~$65-75.

Projection Settings

Forecast Horizon

12 months

Confidence Level

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Live (Apr 14)

Apr 13 Actual vs AI

Next: Apr 17

S1: War Continues

S2: Frozen Conflict

S3: Peace Deal

Brent Crude Oil Apr 13 actual $101.82 (AI predicted ~$102) — Next milestone: Apr 17 · Ceasefire expiry Apr 21

Key Events Timeline

Scenario Projection Table

Month	Actual	S1 War	S2 Frozen	S3 Peace	S1 High	S3 Low